The Bronx Bummers

Bill Parcells once famously said that you are what your record says you are. So while the Yankees talk constantly about their "championship caliber roster", their record very much says otherwise. Following another humiliating defeat at the hands of the Chicago White Sox, the Yankees sit in last place in the A.L. East and 5 games out of the final Wildcard slot.

Their record sits at 59-56, on a pace for a lowly 83 wins. Should that happen, it would be New York's lowest full-season win total since 1992. Optimistic fans would say that this team can turn it around, that the '23 Yanks haven't played their best baseball. But a deeper dive into the numbers is even more bleak. 

While the Yankees have played considerably better at home this season (.555 at Yankee Stadium, .461 on the road, pretty standard in MLB), they unfortunately play 29 of their final 47 games away from home. If the Yanks more or less match their season-long splits, the math says they'll go 23-24 the rest of the way. Add it all up, and the 2023 Yankees would finish 82-80.

That may sound terrible, and it is, but it's not surprising when you look at this team with an even longer lens. Over their last 200 games played, the Yankees are a pedestrian 100-100. They are what their record says they are.

Thank You for Your Service

With the announcement that Carmelo Anthony had retired from the NBA, many of his former teams and teammates offered well-wishes and congratulations on a Hall-of-Fame career. A prolific offensive force, Melo finished as the NBA's 9th all-time leading scorer.

Among the many accolades Anthony has received, is the repeated notion that the Knicks should retire his number. Please place me squarely in the opposite camp: as much as Anthony was the star attraction during his time in New York, the Knicks are under no obligation to hang his #7 jersey from the MSG rafters.

For one, the Knicks are not the Yankees. For the past decade or so, the main criteria for getting your number retired in the Bronx seems to be "He was a pretty popular player over the portion of his career that he played in New York."  (I'm looking at you, Paul O'Neill.) The Knicks have been far more discerning, having last retired a number in 2003 for a true franchise legend, Patrick Ewing.

There are several factors, for me, that work against Anthony. The Knicks didn't draft him, and Anthony was a Denver Nuggets star for nearly eight years before finagling a trade to the Knicks. In fact, only 7 of his 19 seasons were spent in a Knicks' uniform. By comparison, Earl "the Pearl" Monroe didn't enter the league as a Knick, but he spent the majority of his career in New York and retired in a Knicks' jersey.

Due to his relatively short time in orange-and-blue, Melo doesn't own any Knicks' career records. Anthony's 24.7 PPG is the third-best mark in franchise history, but he's only 7th on the Knicks' scoring list. He's 3rd all-time in 3-pointers made, but that's largely due to the era in which he played. Also, unlike a Ewing or Walt Frazier, Anthony's contributions were largely in the scoring column. 

Lastly, Anthony never won a championship in New York. In fact, Melo's teams only made the playoffs 3 times, and never advanced beyond the conference semis. This is probably less of a knock on Carmelo than the franchise itself, but for a one-dimensional, non-Knick-lifer, something needs to put you over the top for a jersey retirement ceremony. The stats from Mark Messier's time in Edmonton might dwarf his numbers with the Rangers, but no one will ever forget the 1994 champions. Messier is a Ranger for life.

I wouldn't be surprised if the Knicks held a Carmelo Anthony Night next season. He would certainly deserve the recognition for his time with the Knicks. But I'd be disappointed in Knicks' management (and ownership) if the night consisted of much more than a highlight reel, a plaque and a rousing ovation.

Fly the Frugal Skies

Economy-class Billionaire

Every so often, you come across a story that is both entirely meaningless and maddeningly stupid. News that the Yankees do not pay for in-flight Wi-Fi on the team's plane is one of those stories. 

On one hand, this was not an anonymous leak by a disgruntled player so I doubt anyone is really broken up about it. A bunch of multi-millionaires can certainly afford $9 per flight to post selfies on Instagram. 

On the other hand, SERIOUSLY YANKEES?

Reportedly, an in-flight Wi-Fi plan costs approximately $40,000 per year for the team. Let's put that cost into some ludicrous perspective:

• The Yankees' payroll in 2023 is expected to be $272 million
• $40,000 would add a bit more than 1/100 of 1% to that total (0.0147%)
• Forbes estimates the value of the Yankees franchise at $6 billion, with annual revenues of $482 million
• $40,000 is a bit less than 1/100 of 1% of that annual total (0.0083%)
• It would cost someone earning $100,000 the equivalent of $8.30 to pay for Wi-Fi annually
• A single season ticket on the Field MVP level (lower tier, wrapping around home plate) costs up to $18,079
• Aaron Judge's new contract pays him approximately $246,000 per game, or around $27,000 per inning

Remember, these are not casual flyers. Between all the road trips to the West coast and everywhere in between, the Yankees spend a lot of time in the air over the course of a season. It's not the end of the world, but not springing for Wi-Fi on the team's plane seems like an incredible oversight at best, and a really cheap move at worst. When viewed against their massive team revenues, it would almost literally cost them nothing.

Naturally, GM Brian Cashman had to chime in with the obviously true but still tone-deaf sentiment: "I think most of our players can afford it."

As Clear As Mud

Over the past few years, "Harbaugh to the NFL" has become as much a part of the college football post-season as Dr. Pepper. During the early stretch of Harbaugh's Michigan tenure, it was mostly about his failures. The typical Michigan fan, at that time, would have paid to help him move. But as Michigan's fortunes have improved -- back-to-back wins over Ohio State and spots in the College Football Playoffs -- so, too, have Harbaugh's NFL prospects improved.

After flirting with the Minnesota Vikings last year -- depending on who you talk to, it was either an interview he didn't get, or a nice conversation -- the rumor mill has started again. Harbaugh has been attached to the Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers in recent days. Amidst all this swirl, though, one voice was absent. The one voice that could put to rest all the speculation.

On Wednesday, the Coach finally spoke:

“Although no one knows the future, I think I will be coaching Michigan next year.”

Thanks, Jim, that certainly settles matters. Or, read another way: "If no NFL team offers me a job, I will be back in Ann Arbor."

While this idle speculation is mostly fun and games for the media, it doesn't come without a cost. Harbaugh returning to Michigan is all well and good, but one group appears to be considerably less enthusiastic about the coach's constant waffling: top recruits. 

Nothing says "Come join our football program" quite like the constant rumors that the coach recruiting you will soon be working on Sundays instead. Is it a coincidence that coming off their best season in decades and another appearance in the CFP that Michigan's ranking for the 2023 Recruiting Class has plummeted to #17? 

For the 2023 class, not a single 5-star prospect decided to commit to the next 3 to 4 years under maybe? Coach Harbaugh. If the coach can't commit, how can you blame a recruit? You can bet Nick Saban is selling Nick Saban as much as he's selling Alabama. What is Harbaugh's answer in those living rooms when the "Are you going to the NFL" question inevitably arises? 

This is not to say that Harbaugh's equivocation is the sole reason for Michigan's recruiting struggles. In the immediate term, Michigan's haul of the 4th-ranked group of transfers will boost the 2023 team even more than some talented freshmen. But it would be nicer to have both.

Jim Harbaugh is gonna Jim Harbaugh, and that applies to any team that employs him. For years, it seemed like Michigan only got the nonsense part. Now they have the success, too. Unfortunately, it just seems harder to buy into the rah-rah-Michigan-Man act when his true desire seems to be a return to "the league where they play... for pay."

Everyone Wants an Uncle Steve

Image courtesy ESPN

Not a single pitch has been thrown in the 2023 baseball season, but that's not to say people aren't already keeping score. As impressive as the New York Mets have already been this off-season -- adding free agents Justin Verlander, Jose Quintana, Kodai Senga and David Robertson, plus re-signing Brandon Nimmo -- deep-pocketed owner Steve Cohen wasn't quite finished. The baseball world awoke this morning to the shocking news that Carlos Correa would add another $315 million to the Mets' league-leading payroll. The San Francisco Giants had hesitated too long, and Uncle Steve swooped in.

For as long as anyone can remember, or at least as long as George Steinbrenner had been throwing money around in the Bronx, fans have complained about the Yankees buying the pennant. (In recent years, though, no amount of Yankees' largesse has brought home a title.) It's ironic, then, that the Mets' fan base is so loudly cheering their own good fortune in the form of the fortunes of Steve Cohen. And the Mets are not making any apologies about spending whatever it takes to win.

While no roster is perfect, I can't recall a team in recent memory with such an abundance of top-level performers throughout:

• A starting rotation that features Max Scherzer, Verlander, Quintana, Senga and Carlos Carrasco
• A lineup of Correa, All-Stars Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, Starling Marte, plus SS Francisco Lindor
• A bullpen with Reliever of the Year Edwin Diaz and newly-signed set-up man Robertson

As the cliché goes, the games aren't played on paper. The Mets, for all the star power they have amassed, haven't won anything yet. Even regular season success will not define the 2023 Mets, as this team is built to win the World Series, right now. (Just ask the Dodgers how they feel about winning 111 games in the regular season, only to fall in the NLDS.)

But since it's only December, the most "winning" team in baseball thus far makes its home in Flushing, Queens. Uncle Steve has made this a Christmas season to remember for Mets' fans everywhere.

Guessing Game

Tomorrow night marks the first CFP rankings of the 2022 season. While there is always great anticipation around the first announcement, it ultimately means very little. In fact, it often seems that the committee is hedging their bets until the teams settle matters on the field. To wit, most would consider Tuesday night's first rankings to look like some variation of this:

1. Georgia
2. Ohio State
3. Tennessee
4. Michigan

With all four teams unbeaten and playing well, few would argue with those selections. But a closer look tells us that it would be nearly impossible for the final rankings to end up the same. 

"The Game of the Year" will be played this Saturday, and either Georgia or Tennessee will knock the other from the unbeaten ranks. Not to be outdone, all signs point to Michigan and Ohio State bringing 11-0 records to their clash at the end of November. The losers of those contests, with 1-loss and not eligible for their conference's championship game, would need plenty of help to finish among the final four.

That's not to say the committee's job will be easy. In fact, the CFP leadership may find themselves faced with the following scenario:

• Alabama wins out, finishes 11-1 and captures the SEC West
• Georgia beats Tennessee and finishes 12-0, winning the SEC East
• If Alabama beats Georgia, a 1-loss SEC Champ is almost guaranteed a spot in the playoffs
• If Georgia, previously ranked #1, has only 1 loss in the championship game, they make a strong case for inclusion
• Meanwhile, the 1-loss Volunteers, having BEATEN Alabama and whose only loss would be to former #1 Georgia, would be the odd team out

You could also end up with another logjam if the above scenario plays out AND both Clemson and TCU finish unbeaten. Clemson would probably land at #3, while TCU and the Big 12 may find themselves on the outside looking in.

Of course, there are lots of games to be played between now and the committee's final rankings in December. Attempting to predict how a group of 19- and 20-year-olds will perform on any given Saturday is an easy way to lose all your money. But that's not to say we won't be watching, and speculating, the whole time.

Of Streaks and Swoons

No team in baseball had a better start to the 2022 season than the New York Yankees. In fact, after going 22-6 in June -- an amazing .786 winning percentage -- the Yanks' record stood at 56-21. Talk then turned to history: at that pace, a team that played .727 baseball would be projected to finish with 117 wins, the most ever in baseball. What a difference a few weeks make.

This past weekend, the Yankees were swept in a series for the first time this season, losing all 3 games to the St. Louis Cardinals. But that was only the icing on a very bad cake. In a stark contrast to their electric start, the Yankees have limped through the opening weeks of the 2nd half. Over the past 30 games, the Yankees are a woeful 12-18, including their first 5-game losing streak.

So what does this all mean? As the expression goes, "You're never as good as you look when you're winning, and you're never as bad as you look when you're losing." The 2022 Yankees, therefore, aren't going to win 117 games, but they're not likely to finish .500 either. 

Thanks to their historic start, the Yankees are still a virtual lock to make the playoffs. Their hold on the best record in the league, though, is tenuous. Fortunately for the Yanks, Houston has been scuffling, too. Otherwise the Astros would have passed the Yankees already. All that said, it doesn't seem like it's time to panic, but context is quite important here.

Say that instead of winning 56 games by July, the Yankees started the first 30 games of the season the way they've played of late. At 12-18 on May 4, that would have been good enough for 4th place in the A.L. East. Very few people would figure that team to win 22 games in a calendar month. 

The case could be made that the Yankees' current swoon impacted their moves at the trade deadline more than their hot start. They reinforced the lineup with Andrew Benintendi, and the rotation with Frankie Montas, both newly-apparent areas of need. Unfortunately, both players have blended seamlessly with their now cold-as-ice teammates. Benintendi is an abysmal 4-30 since donning pinstripes, while Montas got bombed in his first start for New York.

Where do they go from here? A trip to Seattle is up next, where the Yanks will face the one who got away, Luis Castillo. And though the Red Sox have been lost all season, one can imagine how they would relish playing the role of spoiler in a weekend series at Fenway. 

Beyond that, though, could be the stretch that defines the entire season: 9 straight games against the Rays, Blue Jays and Mets, all teams currently in playoff position. If the Yankees can't right the ship by then, even a division lead could be in jeopardy. It remains to be seen which Yankees team will show up over the next few weeks.