Thursday, August 10, 2023

The Bronx Bummers

Bill Parcells once famously said that you are what your record says you are. So while the Yankees talk constantly about their "championship caliber roster", their record very much says otherwise. Following another humiliating defeat at the hands of the Chicago White Sox, the Yankees sit in last place in the A.L. East and 5 games out of the final Wildcard slot.


Their record sits at 59-56, on a pace for a lowly 83 wins. Should that happen, it would be New York's lowest full-season win total since 1992. Optimistic fans would say that this team can turn it around, that the '23 Yanks haven't played their best baseball. But a deeper dive into the numbers is even more bleak. 

While the Yankees have played considerably better at home this season (.555 at Yankee Stadium, .461 on the road, pretty standard in MLB), they unfortunately play 29 of their final 47 games away from home. If the Yanks more or less match their season-long splits, the math says they'll go 23-24 the rest of the way. Add it all up, and the 2023 Yankees would finish 82-80.

That may sound terrible, and it is, but it's not surprising when you look at this team with an even longer lens. Over their last 200 games played, the Yankees are a pedestrian 100-100. They are what their record says they are.